Wednesday, November 5, 2008

NFL Picks

I am getting my picks out early. As Dan mentioned we are going to Vegas in, count 'em, 2 days, and the NFL is starting their stupid Thursday Night Game that no one can watch. I had a rough week last week going 4-9. Let's see if we can improve on that.

Locks:
Tennesse -3 over Chicago: This game wouldn't be a lock except for sexy Rexxy at QB for the Bears. I think Tennessee will bring the house at him. Grossman is good for 3 INTs so Tennessee wins easily by a TD.

Green Bay +3.5 over Minnesota: Giving the Pack 3.5? Really? Rodgers shoulder is fine. Expect Green Bay to win this game and take the lead in the division.

Stay Away:
Miami -9 over Seattle: Again, this is too big a number. Miami has played well, but this game could still be close. I don't see Miami scoring that many points, but I still say they win easily

NY Giants over Philadelphia: If this game was 3 weeks ago, you easily go with the G-Men. Now with Westbrook healthy and the game being played in Philly I wouldn't bring surprised no matter who wins. I will go with the Giants just because I am a fan and Justin Tuck is a beast.

The Rest:
Denver +1 over Cleveland, Atlanta over New Orleans, Jacksonville -5.5 over Detroit, New England over Buffalo, Baltimore-4.5 over Houston, St. Louis +4.5 over NY Jets, Carolina -7 over Oakland, Indianapolis +1.5 over Pittsburgh, Kansas City +8 over San Diego, Arizona -6.5 over San Francisco.

4 comments:

Dan said...

It seems like there are a lot of pick 'em games this week.

Joe said...

well it could just be that it is still early in the week and vegas hasn't figured out which people are leaning. Therefore haven't had the opportunity to adjust their lines to hedge their bets.

Dan said...

How do they even make money doing that? It could end up that those games will only have a one or two point spread, which is practically a pick 'em anyway.

Joe said...

i will explain on the plane.